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The economic impact of the inoperability of the airport at a small-island tourism destination: The case of Madeira

António Almeida, Luiz Pinto Machado, Brian Garrod Orcid Logo

Journal of Air Transport Management, Volume: 128, Start page: 102845

Swansea University Author: Brian Garrod Orcid Logo

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DOI (Published version): 10.1016/j.jairtraman.2025.102845

Abstract

Climate change means that tourism on small islands is increasingly vulnerable to the disruptive effects of adverse weather conditions. Many small islands rely upon a single airport, so when weather conditions cause inbound flights to be delayed, diverted, or even cancelled, this will tend to reduce...

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Published in: Journal of Air Transport Management
ISSN: 0969-6997 1873-2089
Published: Elsevier Ltd 2025
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URI: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa69738
first_indexed 2025-06-16T08:53:41Z
last_indexed 2025-07-01T05:28:12Z
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spelling 2025-06-30T10:44:58.5758243 v2 69738 2025-06-16 The economic impact of the inoperability of the airport at a small-island tourism destination: The case of Madeira 4f81981d78ed3082b232463da24d1bb9 0000-0002-5468-6816 Brian Garrod Brian Garrod true false 2025-06-16 CBAE Climate change means that tourism on small islands is increasingly vulnerable to the disruptive effects of adverse weather conditions. Many small islands rely upon a single airport, so when weather conditions cause inbound flights to be delayed, diverted, or even cancelled, this will tend to reduce tourists’ length of stay. There may also be longer-term damage to the destination’s image in terms of transport reliability. This paper sets out to estimate the economic impact of weather-related flight delays and cancellations at a small-island tourism destination. Using Madeira as an example, a two-stage estimation approach was developed using both primary and secondary data. Based on the premise that around 1% of tourists are affected by delays that result in shorter stays, several scenarios were developed and estimates of their economic impacts computed. The results suggest that while the short-term economic impact may be relatively small, the longer-term effects may be more substantial. Journal Article Journal of Air Transport Management 128 102845 Elsevier Ltd 0969-6997 1873-2089 Airport; Destination image; Disruptive weather; Economic impact; Inoperability; Length of stay 1 9 2025 2025-09-01 10.1016/j.jairtraman.2025.102845 COLLEGE NANME Management School COLLEGE CODE CBAE Swansea University SU Library paid the OA fee (TA Institutional Deal) Swansea University 2025-06-30T10:44:58.5758243 2025-06-16T09:48:12.0253151 Faculty of Humanities and Social Sciences School of Management - Business Management António Almeida 1 Luiz Pinto Machado 2 Brian Garrod 0000-0002-5468-6816 3 69738__34621__2a52e6f6abf649cf811b341e7e3ac25d.pdf 69738.VOR.pdf 2025-06-30T10:42:09.3433847 Output 696264 application/pdf Version of Record true © 2025 The Authors. This is an open access article under the CC BY license. true eng http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
title The economic impact of the inoperability of the airport at a small-island tourism destination: The case of Madeira
spellingShingle The economic impact of the inoperability of the airport at a small-island tourism destination: The case of Madeira
Brian Garrod
title_short The economic impact of the inoperability of the airport at a small-island tourism destination: The case of Madeira
title_full The economic impact of the inoperability of the airport at a small-island tourism destination: The case of Madeira
title_fullStr The economic impact of the inoperability of the airport at a small-island tourism destination: The case of Madeira
title_full_unstemmed The economic impact of the inoperability of the airport at a small-island tourism destination: The case of Madeira
title_sort The economic impact of the inoperability of the airport at a small-island tourism destination: The case of Madeira
author_id_str_mv 4f81981d78ed3082b232463da24d1bb9
author_id_fullname_str_mv 4f81981d78ed3082b232463da24d1bb9_***_Brian Garrod
author Brian Garrod
author2 António Almeida
Luiz Pinto Machado
Brian Garrod
format Journal article
container_title Journal of Air Transport Management
container_volume 128
container_start_page 102845
publishDate 2025
institution Swansea University
issn 0969-6997
1873-2089
doi_str_mv 10.1016/j.jairtraman.2025.102845
publisher Elsevier Ltd
college_str Faculty of Humanities and Social Sciences
hierarchytype
hierarchy_top_id facultyofhumanitiesandsocialsciences
hierarchy_top_title Faculty of Humanities and Social Sciences
hierarchy_parent_id facultyofhumanitiesandsocialsciences
hierarchy_parent_title Faculty of Humanities and Social Sciences
department_str School of Management - Business Management{{{_:::_}}}Faculty of Humanities and Social Sciences{{{_:::_}}}School of Management - Business Management
document_store_str 1
active_str 0
description Climate change means that tourism on small islands is increasingly vulnerable to the disruptive effects of adverse weather conditions. Many small islands rely upon a single airport, so when weather conditions cause inbound flights to be delayed, diverted, or even cancelled, this will tend to reduce tourists’ length of stay. There may also be longer-term damage to the destination’s image in terms of transport reliability. This paper sets out to estimate the economic impact of weather-related flight delays and cancellations at a small-island tourism destination. Using Madeira as an example, a two-stage estimation approach was developed using both primary and secondary data. Based on the premise that around 1% of tourists are affected by delays that result in shorter stays, several scenarios were developed and estimates of their economic impacts computed. The results suggest that while the short-term economic impact may be relatively small, the longer-term effects may be more substantial.
published_date 2025-09-01T08:13:29Z
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score 11.301609

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