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Returns to solar panels in the housing market: A meta learner approach

Ilias Asproudis Orcid Logo, Cigdem Gedikli Orcid Logo, Oleksandr Talavera, Okan Yilmaz Orcid Logo

Energy Economics, Volume: 137, Start page: 107768

Swansea University Authors: Ilias Asproudis Orcid Logo, Cigdem Gedikli Orcid Logo, Okan Yilmaz Orcid Logo

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Abstract

This paper aims to estimate the returns to solar panels in the UK residential housing market. Our analysis applies a causal machine learning approach to Zoopla property data containing about 5 million observations. Drawing on meta-learner algorithms, we provide strong evidence documenting that solar...

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Published in: Energy Economics
ISSN: 0140-9883
Published: Elsevier BV 2024
Online Access: Check full text

URI: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa64339
Abstract: This paper aims to estimate the returns to solar panels in the UK residential housing market. Our analysis applies a causal machine learning approach to Zoopla property data containing about 5 million observations. Drawing on meta-learner algorithms, we provide strong evidence documenting that solar panels are directly capitalized into sale prices. Our results point to a selling price premium above 6% (range between 6.1% to 7.1% depending on the meta-learner) associated with solar panels. Considering that the average selling price is £230,536 in our sample, this corresponds to an additional £14,062 to £16,368 selling price premium for houses with solar panels. Our results are robust to traditional hedonic pricing models and matching techniques, with the lowest estimates at 3.5% using the latter. Despite the declining trend, the additional analyses demonstrate that the positive premium associated with solar panels persists over the years.
Keywords: Solar panels; Residential housing market; Sale prices; Machine-learning; Meta-learners
College: Faculty of Humanities and Social Sciences
Funders: Swansea University
Start Page: 107768