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Pantropical tree rings show small effects of drought on stem growth

Pieter A. Zuidema Orcid Logo, Peter Groenendijk Orcid Logo, Mizanur Rahman Orcid Logo, Valerie Trouet Orcid Logo, Abrham Abiyu Orcid Logo, Rodolfo Acuña-Soto Orcid Logo, Eduardo Adenesky-Filho Orcid Logo, Raquel Alfaro-Sánchez Orcid Logo, Claudio Roberto Anholetto Orcid Logo, José Roberto Vieira Aragão Orcid Logo, Gabriel Assis-Pereira Orcid Logo, Claudia C. Astudillo-Sánchez Orcid Logo, Ana Carolina Barbosa Orcid Logo, Giovanna Battipaglia Orcid Logo, Hans Beeckman Orcid Logo, Paulo Cesar Botosso Orcid Logo, Nils Bourland Orcid Logo, Achim Bräuning Orcid Logo, Roel Brienen Orcid Logo, Matthew Brookhouse Orcid Logo, Supaporn Buajan Orcid Logo, Brendan M. Buckley Orcid Logo, J. Julio Camarero Orcid Logo, Artemio Carrillo-Parra Orcid Logo, Gregório Ceccantini Orcid Logo, Librado R. Centeno-Erguera Orcid Logo, Julián Cerano-Paredes Orcid Logo, Rosalinda Cervantes-Martínez Orcid Logo, Wirong Chanthorn, Ya-Jun Chen Orcid Logo, Bruno Barçante Ladvocat Cintra Orcid Logo, Eladio Heriberto Cornejo-Oviedo Orcid Logo, Otoniel Cortés-Cortés, Clayane Matos Costa, Camille Couralet Orcid Logo, Doris Bianca Crispín-De-La-Cruz Orcid Logo, Rosanne D’arrigo, Diego A. David Orcid Logo, Maaike De Ridder, Jorge Ignacio Del Valle Orcid Logo, Mário Dobner Orcid Logo, Jean-Louis Doucet Orcid Logo, Oliver Dünisch, Brian J. Enquist Orcid Logo, Karin Esemann-Quadros Orcid Logo, Gerardo Esquivel-Arriaga Orcid Logo, Ze-Xin Fan Orcid Logo, Adeline Fayolle Orcid Logo, Tatiele Anete Bergamo Fenilli Orcid Logo, M. Eugenia Ferrero Orcid Logo, Esther Fichtler, Patrick M. Finnegan Orcid Logo, Claudia Fontana Orcid Logo, Kainana S. Francisco Orcid Logo, Pei-Li Fu Orcid Logo, Franklin Galvão Orcid Logo, Aster Gebrekirstos, Jorge A. Giraldo Orcid Logo, Emanuel Gloor Orcid Logo, Milena Godoy-Veiga Orcid Logo, Daniela Granato-Souza Orcid Logo, Anthony Guerra Orcid Logo, Kristof Haneca Orcid Logo, Grant Logan Harley Orcid Logo, Ingo Heinrich Orcid Logo, Gerhard Helle Orcid Logo, Bruna Hornink Orcid Logo, Wannes Hubau Orcid Logo, Janet G. Inga Orcid Logo, Mahmuda Islam Orcid Logo, Yu-Mei Jiang Orcid Logo, Mark Kaib Orcid Logo, Zakia Hassan Khamisi Orcid Logo, Marcin Koprowski Orcid Logo, Eva Layme Orcid Logo, A. Joshua Leffler Orcid Logo, Gauthier Ligot Orcid Logo, Claudio Sergio Lisi Orcid Logo, Neil Loader Orcid Logo, Francisco De Almeida Lobo Orcid Logo, Giuliano Maselli Locosselli Orcid Logo, Tomaz Longhi-Santos Orcid Logo, Lidio Lopez Orcid Logo, María I. López-Hernández Orcid Logo, José Luís Penetra Cerveira Lousada Orcid Logo, Rubén D. Manzanedo Orcid Logo, Amanda K. Marcon Orcid Logo, Justin T. Maxwell Orcid Logo, Omar N. Mendoza-Villa Orcid Logo, Ítallo Romany Nunes Menezes Orcid Logo, Mulugeta Mokria Orcid Logo, Valdinez Ribeiro Montóia, Eddy Moors Orcid Logo, Miyer Moreno, Miguel Angel Muñiz-Castro Orcid Logo, Cristina Nabais Orcid Logo, Anuttara Nathalang Orcid Logo, Justine Ngoma Orcid Logo, Francisco De Carvalho Nogueira Orcid Logo, Juliano Morales Oliveira Orcid Logo, Gabriela Morais Olmedo Orcid Logo, Daigard Ricardo Ortega-Rodriguez Orcid Logo, Carmen Eugenia Rodríguez Ortíz Orcid Logo, Mariana Alves Pagotto Orcid Logo, Shankar Panthi Orcid Logo, Kathelyn Paredes-Villanueva Orcid Logo, Gonzalo Pérez-de-Lis Orcid Logo, Laura Patricia Ponce Calderón Orcid Logo, Leif Armando Portal-Cahuana Orcid Logo, Darwin Alexander Pucha-Cofrep Orcid Logo, Nathsuda Pumijumnong, Paulo Quadri Orcid Logo, Jorge Andrés Ramírez Orcid Logo, Edilson Jimmy Requena-Rojas Orcid Logo, Judith Reyes-Flores Orcid Logo, Adauto de Souza Ribeiro Orcid Logo, Iain Robertson Orcid Logo, Fidel Alejandro Roig Orcid Logo, José Guilherme Roquette Orcid Logo, Ernesto Alonso Rubio-Camacho Orcid Logo, Raúl Sánchez-Salguero Orcid Logo, Ute Sass-Klaassen Orcid Logo, Jochen Schöngart Orcid Logo, Marcelo Callegari Scipioni Orcid Logo, Paul R. Sheppard Orcid Logo, Lucas C.R. Silva Orcid Logo, Franziska Slotta Orcid Logo, Leroy Soria-Díaz Orcid Logo, Luciana K.V.S. Sousa Orcid Logo, James H. Speer Orcid Logo, Matthew D. Therrell Orcid Logo, Ginette Ticse-Otarola Orcid Logo, Mario Tomazello-Filho Orcid Logo, Max C.A. Torbenson Orcid Logo, Pantana Tor-Ngern Orcid Logo, Ramzi Touchan, Jan Van den Bulcke Orcid Logo, Lorenzo Vázquez-Selem Orcid Logo, Adín H. Velázquez-Pérez Orcid Logo, Alejandro Venegas-González Orcid Logo, Ricardo Villalba Orcid Logo, Jose Villanueva-Diaz Orcid Logo, Mart Vlam Orcid Logo, George Vourlitis Orcid Logo, Christian Wehenkel, Tommy Wils Orcid Logo, Erika S. Zavaleta Orcid Logo, Eshetu Asfaw Zewdu, Yong-Jiang Zhang Orcid Logo, Zhe-Kun Zhou Orcid Logo, Flurin Babst Orcid Logo

Science, Volume: 389, Issue: 6759, Pages: 532 - 538

Swansea University Authors: Neil Loader Orcid Logo, Iain Robertson Orcid Logo

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Abstract

Increasing drought pressure under anthropogenic climate change may jeopardize the potential of tropical forests to capture carbon in woody biomass and act as a long-term carbon dioxide sink. To evaluate this risk, we assessed drought impacts in 483 tree-ring chronologies from across the tropics and...

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Published in: Science
ISSN: 0036-8075 1095-9203
Published: American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS) 2025
Online Access: Check full text

URI: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa70087
first_indexed 2025-07-31T22:29:48Z
last_indexed 2025-08-12T06:05:07Z
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To evaluate this risk, we assessed drought impacts in 483 tree-ring chronologies from across the tropics and found an overall modest stem growth decline (2.5% with a 95% confidence interval of 2.2 to 2.7%) during the 10% driest years since 1930. Stem growth declines exceeded 10% in 25% of cases and were larger at hotter and drier sites and for gymnosperms compared with angiosperms. Growth declines generally did not outlast drought years and were partially mitigated by growth stimulation in wet years. 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spelling 2025-08-11T16:14:59.4682362 v2 70087 2025-07-31 Pantropical tree rings show small effects of drought on stem growth 8267a62100791965d08df6a7842676e6 0000-0002-6841-1813 Neil Loader Neil Loader true false ef8912c57e0140e9ecb2a69b7e34467e 0000-0001-7174-4523 Iain Robertson Iain Robertson true false 2025-07-31 BGPS Increasing drought pressure under anthropogenic climate change may jeopardize the potential of tropical forests to capture carbon in woody biomass and act as a long-term carbon dioxide sink. To evaluate this risk, we assessed drought impacts in 483 tree-ring chronologies from across the tropics and found an overall modest stem growth decline (2.5% with a 95% confidence interval of 2.2 to 2.7%) during the 10% driest years since 1930. Stem growth declines exceeded 10% in 25% of cases and were larger at hotter and drier sites and for gymnosperms compared with angiosperms. Growth declines generally did not outlast drought years and were partially mitigated by growth stimulation in wet years. Thus, pantropical forest carbon sequestration through stem growth has hitherto shown drought resilience that may, however, diminish under future climate change. Journal Article Science 389 6759 532 538 American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS) 0036-8075 1095-9203 31 7 2025 2025-07-31 10.1126/science.adq6607 COLLEGE NANME Biosciences Geography and Physics School COLLEGE CODE BGPS Swansea University NERC (NE/K01353X/1) 2025-08-11T16:14:59.4682362 2025-07-31T23:26:29.3419515 Faculty of Science and Engineering School of Biosciences, Geography and Physics - Geography Pieter A. Zuidema 0000-0001-8100-1168 1 Peter Groenendijk 0000-0003-2752-6195 2 Mizanur Rahman 0000-0001-9011-2011 3 Valerie Trouet 0000-0002-2683-8704 4 Abrham Abiyu 0000-0001-9427-9820 5 Rodolfo Acuña-Soto 0000-0002-8477-0170 6 Eduardo Adenesky-Filho 0000-0002-5978-639x 7 Raquel Alfaro-Sánchez 0000-0001-7357-3027 8 Claudio Roberto Anholetto 0000-0002-5472-3904 9 José Roberto Vieira Aragão 0000-0001-8035-9635 10 Gabriel Assis-Pereira 0000-0001-5274-0033 11 Claudia C. Astudillo-Sánchez 0000-0003-0300-0252 12 Ana Carolina Barbosa 0000-0002-9823-1063 13 Giovanna Battipaglia 0000-0003-1741-3509 14 Hans Beeckman 0000-0001-8954-6277 15 Paulo Cesar Botosso 0000-0001-5361-2543 16 Nils Bourland 0000-0003-4960-8685 17 Achim Bräuning 0000-0003-3106-4229 18 Roel Brienen 0000-0002-5397-5755 19 Matthew Brookhouse 0000-0002-1127-255x 20 Supaporn Buajan 0000-0001-7410-5321 21 Brendan M. Buckley 0000-0003-1544-8003 22 J. 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title Pantropical tree rings show small effects of drought on stem growth
spellingShingle Pantropical tree rings show small effects of drought on stem growth
Neil Loader
Iain Robertson
title_short Pantropical tree rings show small effects of drought on stem growth
title_full Pantropical tree rings show small effects of drought on stem growth
title_fullStr Pantropical tree rings show small effects of drought on stem growth
title_full_unstemmed Pantropical tree rings show small effects of drought on stem growth
title_sort Pantropical tree rings show small effects of drought on stem growth
author_id_str_mv 8267a62100791965d08df6a7842676e6
ef8912c57e0140e9ecb2a69b7e34467e
author_id_fullname_str_mv 8267a62100791965d08df6a7842676e6_***_Neil Loader
ef8912c57e0140e9ecb2a69b7e34467e_***_Iain Robertson
author Neil Loader
Iain Robertson
author2 Pieter A. Zuidema
Peter Groenendijk
Mizanur Rahman
Valerie Trouet
Abrham Abiyu
Rodolfo Acuña-Soto
Eduardo Adenesky-Filho
Raquel Alfaro-Sánchez
Claudio Roberto Anholetto
José Roberto Vieira Aragão
Gabriel Assis-Pereira
Claudia C. Astudillo-Sánchez
Ana Carolina Barbosa
Giovanna Battipaglia
Hans Beeckman
Paulo Cesar Botosso
Nils Bourland
Achim Bräuning
Roel Brienen
Matthew Brookhouse
Supaporn Buajan
Brendan M. Buckley
J. Julio Camarero
Artemio Carrillo-Parra
Gregório Ceccantini
Librado R. Centeno-Erguera
Julián Cerano-Paredes
Rosalinda Cervantes-Martínez
Wirong Chanthorn
Ya-Jun Chen
Bruno Barçante Ladvocat Cintra
Eladio Heriberto Cornejo-Oviedo
Otoniel Cortés-Cortés
Clayane Matos Costa
Camille Couralet
Doris Bianca Crispín-De-La-Cruz
Rosanne D’arrigo
Diego A. David
Maaike De Ridder
Jorge Ignacio Del Valle
Mário Dobner
Jean-Louis Doucet
Oliver Dünisch
Brian J. Enquist
Karin Esemann-Quadros
Gerardo Esquivel-Arriaga
Ze-Xin Fan
Adeline Fayolle
Tatiele Anete Bergamo Fenilli
M. Eugenia Ferrero
Esther Fichtler
Patrick M. Finnegan
Claudia Fontana
Kainana S. Francisco
Pei-Li Fu
Franklin Galvão
Aster Gebrekirstos
Jorge A. Giraldo
Emanuel Gloor
Milena Godoy-Veiga
Daniela Granato-Souza
Anthony Guerra
Kristof Haneca
Grant Logan Harley
Ingo Heinrich
Gerhard Helle
Bruna Hornink
Wannes Hubau
Janet G. Inga
Mahmuda Islam
Yu-Mei Jiang
Mark Kaib
Zakia Hassan Khamisi
Marcin Koprowski
Eva Layme
A. Joshua Leffler
Gauthier Ligot
Claudio Sergio Lisi
Neil Loader
Francisco De Almeida Lobo
Giuliano Maselli Locosselli
Tomaz Longhi-Santos
Lidio Lopez
María I. López-Hernández
José Luís Penetra Cerveira Lousada
Rubén D. Manzanedo
Amanda K. Marcon
Justin T. Maxwell
Omar N. Mendoza-Villa
Ítallo Romany Nunes Menezes
Mulugeta Mokria
Valdinez Ribeiro Montóia
Eddy Moors
Miyer Moreno
Miguel Angel Muñiz-Castro
Cristina Nabais
Anuttara Nathalang
Justine Ngoma
Francisco De Carvalho Nogueira
Juliano Morales Oliveira
Gabriela Morais Olmedo
Daigard Ricardo Ortega-Rodriguez
Carmen Eugenia Rodríguez Ortíz
Mariana Alves Pagotto
Shankar Panthi
Kathelyn Paredes-Villanueva
Gonzalo Pérez-de-Lis
Laura Patricia Ponce Calderón
Leif Armando Portal-Cahuana
Darwin Alexander Pucha-Cofrep
Nathsuda Pumijumnong
Paulo Quadri
Jorge Andrés Ramírez
Edilson Jimmy Requena-Rojas
Judith Reyes-Flores
Adauto de Souza Ribeiro
Iain Robertson
Fidel Alejandro Roig
José Guilherme Roquette
Ernesto Alonso Rubio-Camacho
Raúl Sánchez-Salguero
Ute Sass-Klaassen
Jochen Schöngart
Marcelo Callegari Scipioni
Paul R. Sheppard
Lucas C.R. Silva
Franziska Slotta
Leroy Soria-Díaz
Luciana K.V.S. Sousa
James H. Speer
Matthew D. Therrell
Ginette Ticse-Otarola
Mario Tomazello-Filho
Max C.A. Torbenson
Pantana Tor-Ngern
Ramzi Touchan
Jan Van den Bulcke
Lorenzo Vázquez-Selem
Adín H. Velázquez-Pérez
Alejandro Venegas-González
Ricardo Villalba
Jose Villanueva-Diaz
Mart Vlam
George Vourlitis
Christian Wehenkel
Tommy Wils
Erika S. Zavaleta
Eshetu Asfaw Zewdu
Yong-Jiang Zhang
Zhe-Kun Zhou
Flurin Babst
format Journal article
container_title Science
container_volume 389
container_issue 6759
container_start_page 532
publishDate 2025
institution Swansea University
issn 0036-8075
1095-9203
doi_str_mv 10.1126/science.adq6607
publisher American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS)
college_str Faculty of Science and Engineering
hierarchytype
hierarchy_top_id facultyofscienceandengineering
hierarchy_top_title Faculty of Science and Engineering
hierarchy_parent_id facultyofscienceandengineering
hierarchy_parent_title Faculty of Science and Engineering
department_str School of Biosciences, Geography and Physics - Geography{{{_:::_}}}Faculty of Science and Engineering{{{_:::_}}}School of Biosciences, Geography and Physics - Geography
document_store_str 1
active_str 0
description Increasing drought pressure under anthropogenic climate change may jeopardize the potential of tropical forests to capture carbon in woody biomass and act as a long-term carbon dioxide sink. To evaluate this risk, we assessed drought impacts in 483 tree-ring chronologies from across the tropics and found an overall modest stem growth decline (2.5% with a 95% confidence interval of 2.2 to 2.7%) during the 10% driest years since 1930. Stem growth declines exceeded 10% in 25% of cases and were larger at hotter and drier sites and for gymnosperms compared with angiosperms. Growth declines generally did not outlast drought years and were partially mitigated by growth stimulation in wet years. Thus, pantropical forest carbon sequestration through stem growth has hitherto shown drought resilience that may, however, diminish under future climate change.
published_date 2025-07-31T05:29:56Z
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