Journal article 328 views 73 downloads
Pantropical tree rings show small effects of drought on stem growth
Science, Volume: 389, Issue: 6759, Pages: 532 - 538
Swansea University Authors:
Neil Loader , Iain Robertson
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DOI (Published version): 10.1126/science.adq6607
Abstract
Increasing drought pressure under anthropogenic climate change may jeopardize the potential of tropical forests to capture carbon in woody biomass and act as a long-term carbon dioxide sink. To evaluate this risk, we assessed drought impacts in 483 tree-ring chronologies from across the tropics and...
| Published in: | Science |
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| ISSN: | 0036-8075 1095-9203 |
| Published: |
American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS)
2025
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| Online Access: |
Check full text
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| URI: | https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa70087 |
| first_indexed |
2025-07-31T22:29:48Z |
|---|---|
| last_indexed |
2025-08-12T06:05:07Z |
| id |
cronfa70087 |
| recordtype |
SURis |
| fullrecord |
<?xml version="1.0"?><rfc1807><datestamp>2025-08-11T16:14:59.4682362</datestamp><bib-version>v2</bib-version><id>70087</id><entry>2025-07-31</entry><title>Pantropical tree rings show small effects of drought on stem growth</title><swanseaauthors><author><sid>8267a62100791965d08df6a7842676e6</sid><ORCID>0000-0002-6841-1813</ORCID><firstname>Neil</firstname><surname>Loader</surname><name>Neil Loader</name><active>true</active><ethesisStudent>false</ethesisStudent></author><author><sid>ef8912c57e0140e9ecb2a69b7e34467e</sid><ORCID>0000-0001-7174-4523</ORCID><firstname>Iain</firstname><surname>Robertson</surname><name>Iain Robertson</name><active>true</active><ethesisStudent>false</ethesisStudent></author></swanseaauthors><date>2025-07-31</date><deptcode>BGPS</deptcode><abstract>Increasing drought pressure under anthropogenic climate change may jeopardize the potential of tropical forests to capture carbon in woody biomass and act as a long-term carbon dioxide sink. To evaluate this risk, we assessed drought impacts in 483 tree-ring chronologies from across the tropics and found an overall modest stem growth decline (2.5% with a 95% confidence interval of 2.2 to 2.7%) during the 10% driest years since 1930. Stem growth declines exceeded 10% in 25% of cases and were larger at hotter and drier sites and for gymnosperms compared with angiosperms. Growth declines generally did not outlast drought years and were partially mitigated by growth stimulation in wet years. Thus, pantropical forest carbon sequestration through stem growth has hitherto shown drought resilience that may, however, diminish under future climate change.</abstract><type>Journal Article</type><journal>Science</journal><volume>389</volume><journalNumber>6759</journalNumber><paginationStart>532</paginationStart><paginationEnd>538</paginationEnd><publisher>American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS)</publisher><placeOfPublication/><isbnPrint/><isbnElectronic/><issnPrint>0036-8075</issnPrint><issnElectronic>1095-9203</issnElectronic><keywords/><publishedDay>31</publishedDay><publishedMonth>7</publishedMonth><publishedYear>2025</publishedYear><publishedDate>2025-07-31</publishedDate><doi>10.1126/science.adq6607</doi><url/><notes/><college>COLLEGE NANME</college><department>Biosciences Geography and Physics School</department><CollegeCode>COLLEGE CODE</CollegeCode><DepartmentCode>BGPS</DepartmentCode><institution>Swansea University</institution><apcterm/><funders>NERC (NE/K01353X/1)</funders><projectreference/><lastEdited>2025-08-11T16:14:59.4682362</lastEdited><Created>2025-07-31T23:26:29.3419515</Created><path><level id="1">Faculty of Science and Engineering</level><level id="2">School of Biosciences, Geography and Physics - Geography</level></path><authors><author><firstname>Pieter A.</firstname><surname>Zuidema</surname><orcid>0000-0001-8100-1168</orcid><order>1</order></author><author><firstname>Peter</firstname><surname>Groenendijk</surname><orcid>0000-0003-2752-6195</orcid><order>2</order></author><author><firstname>Mizanur</firstname><surname>Rahman</surname><orcid>0000-0001-9011-2011</orcid><order>3</order></author><author><firstname>Valerie</firstname><surname>Trouet</surname><orcid>0000-0002-2683-8704</orcid><order>4</order></author><author><firstname>Abrham</firstname><surname>Abiyu</surname><orcid>0000-0001-9427-9820</orcid><order>5</order></author><author><firstname>Rodolfo</firstname><surname>Acuña-Soto</surname><orcid>0000-0002-8477-0170</orcid><order>6</order></author><author><firstname>Eduardo</firstname><surname>Adenesky-Filho</surname><orcid>0000-0002-5978-639x</orcid><order>7</order></author><author><firstname>Raquel</firstname><surname>Alfaro-Sánchez</surname><orcid>0000-0001-7357-3027</orcid><order>8</order></author><author><firstname>Claudio Roberto</firstname><surname>Anholetto</surname><orcid>0000-0002-5472-3904</orcid><order>9</order></author><author><firstname>José Roberto Vieira</firstname><surname>Aragão</surname><orcid>0000-0001-8035-9635</orcid><order>10</order></author><author><firstname>Gabriel</firstname><surname>Assis-Pereira</surname><orcid>0000-0001-5274-0033</orcid><order>11</order></author><author><firstname>Claudia C.</firstname><surname>Astudillo-Sánchez</surname><orcid>0000-0003-0300-0252</orcid><order>12</order></author><author><firstname>Ana Carolina</firstname><surname>Barbosa</surname><orcid>0000-0002-9823-1063</orcid><order>13</order></author><author><firstname>Giovanna</firstname><surname>Battipaglia</surname><orcid>0000-0003-1741-3509</orcid><order>14</order></author><author><firstname>Hans</firstname><surname>Beeckman</surname><orcid>0000-0001-8954-6277</orcid><order>15</order></author><author><firstname>Paulo Cesar</firstname><surname>Botosso</surname><orcid>0000-0001-5361-2543</orcid><order>16</order></author><author><firstname>Nils</firstname><surname>Bourland</surname><orcid>0000-0003-4960-8685</orcid><order>17</order></author><author><firstname>Achim</firstname><surname>Bräuning</surname><orcid>0000-0003-3106-4229</orcid><order>18</order></author><author><firstname>Roel</firstname><surname>Brienen</surname><orcid>0000-0002-5397-5755</orcid><order>19</order></author><author><firstname>Matthew</firstname><surname>Brookhouse</surname><orcid>0000-0002-1127-255x</orcid><order>20</order></author><author><firstname>Supaporn</firstname><surname>Buajan</surname><orcid>0000-0001-7410-5321</orcid><order>21</order></author><author><firstname>Brendan M.</firstname><surname>Buckley</surname><orcid>0000-0003-1544-8003</orcid><order>22</order></author><author><firstname>J. 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2025-08-11T16:14:59.4682362 v2 70087 2025-07-31 Pantropical tree rings show small effects of drought on stem growth 8267a62100791965d08df6a7842676e6 0000-0002-6841-1813 Neil Loader Neil Loader true false ef8912c57e0140e9ecb2a69b7e34467e 0000-0001-7174-4523 Iain Robertson Iain Robertson true false 2025-07-31 BGPS Increasing drought pressure under anthropogenic climate change may jeopardize the potential of tropical forests to capture carbon in woody biomass and act as a long-term carbon dioxide sink. To evaluate this risk, we assessed drought impacts in 483 tree-ring chronologies from across the tropics and found an overall modest stem growth decline (2.5% with a 95% confidence interval of 2.2 to 2.7%) during the 10% driest years since 1930. Stem growth declines exceeded 10% in 25% of cases and were larger at hotter and drier sites and for gymnosperms compared with angiosperms. Growth declines generally did not outlast drought years and were partially mitigated by growth stimulation in wet years. Thus, pantropical forest carbon sequestration through stem growth has hitherto shown drought resilience that may, however, diminish under future climate change. Journal Article Science 389 6759 532 538 American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS) 0036-8075 1095-9203 31 7 2025 2025-07-31 10.1126/science.adq6607 COLLEGE NANME Biosciences Geography and Physics School COLLEGE CODE BGPS Swansea University NERC (NE/K01353X/1) 2025-08-11T16:14:59.4682362 2025-07-31T23:26:29.3419515 Faculty of Science and Engineering School of Biosciences, Geography and Physics - Geography Pieter A. Zuidema 0000-0001-8100-1168 1 Peter Groenendijk 0000-0003-2752-6195 2 Mizanur Rahman 0000-0001-9011-2011 3 Valerie Trouet 0000-0002-2683-8704 4 Abrham Abiyu 0000-0001-9427-9820 5 Rodolfo Acuña-Soto 0000-0002-8477-0170 6 Eduardo Adenesky-Filho 0000-0002-5978-639x 7 Raquel Alfaro-Sánchez 0000-0001-7357-3027 8 Claudio Roberto Anholetto 0000-0002-5472-3904 9 José Roberto Vieira Aragão 0000-0001-8035-9635 10 Gabriel Assis-Pereira 0000-0001-5274-0033 11 Claudia C. Astudillo-Sánchez 0000-0003-0300-0252 12 Ana Carolina Barbosa 0000-0002-9823-1063 13 Giovanna Battipaglia 0000-0003-1741-3509 14 Hans Beeckman 0000-0001-8954-6277 15 Paulo Cesar Botosso 0000-0001-5361-2543 16 Nils Bourland 0000-0003-4960-8685 17 Achim Bräuning 0000-0003-3106-4229 18 Roel Brienen 0000-0002-5397-5755 19 Matthew Brookhouse 0000-0002-1127-255x 20 Supaporn Buajan 0000-0001-7410-5321 21 Brendan M. Buckley 0000-0003-1544-8003 22 J. Julio Camarero 0000-0003-2436-2922 23 Artemio Carrillo-Parra 0000-0003-0285-5224 24 Gregório Ceccantini 0000-0002-7952-4485 25 Librado R. Centeno-Erguera 0000-0003-0791-7877 26 Julián Cerano-Paredes 0000-0002-1528-5139 27 Rosalinda Cervantes-Martínez 0000-0002-1864-0917 28 Wirong Chanthorn 29 Ya-Jun Chen 0000-0001-5753-5565 30 Bruno Barçante Ladvocat Cintra 0000-0002-5116-2654 31 Eladio Heriberto Cornejo-Oviedo 0000-0002-5954-9853 32 Otoniel Cortés-Cortés 33 Clayane Matos Costa 34 Camille Couralet 0000-0003-3869-9542 35 Doris Bianca Crispín-De-La-Cruz 0000-0002-9375-6813 36 Rosanne D’arrigo 37 Diego A. David 0009-0002-7636-3695 38 Maaike De Ridder 39 Jorge Ignacio Del Valle 0000-0001-5908-7575 40 Mário Dobner 0000-0001-7216-781x 41 Jean-Louis Doucet 0000-0002-3277-898x 42 Oliver Dünisch 43 Brian J. Enquist 0000-0002-6124-7096 44 Karin Esemann-Quadros 0000-0003-2822-3364 45 Gerardo Esquivel-Arriaga 0000-0002-5043-817x 46 Ze-Xin Fan 0000-0003-4623-6783 47 Adeline Fayolle 0000-0002-6770-0031 48 Tatiele Anete Bergamo Fenilli 0000-0003-3474-5935 49 M. Eugenia Ferrero 0000-0001-6858-2164 50 Esther Fichtler 51 Patrick M. Finnegan 0000-0001-5021-1138 52 Claudia Fontana 0000-0003-2032-5673 53 Kainana S. Francisco 0000-0003-3102-7997 54 Pei-Li Fu 0000-0001-9092-284x 55 Franklin Galvão 0000-0002-1425-1607 56 Aster Gebrekirstos 57 Jorge A. Giraldo 0000-0003-4906-5406 58 Emanuel Gloor 0000-0002-9384-6341 59 Milena Godoy-Veiga 0000-0003-3760-4839 60 Daniela Granato-Souza 0000-0002-7011-0892 61 Anthony Guerra 0000-0002-9830-8550 62 Kristof Haneca 0000-0002-7719-8305 63 Grant Logan Harley 0000-0003-1557-8465 64 Ingo Heinrich 0000-0001-5800-6999 65 Gerhard Helle 0000-0001-9988-6638 66 Bruna Hornink 0000-0002-8765-540x 67 Wannes Hubau 0000-0003-3795-4986 68 Janet G. Inga 0000-0002-2321-8518 69 Mahmuda Islam 0000-0003-3149-6582 70 Yu-Mei Jiang 0000-0001-8359-7778 71 Mark Kaib 0000-0003-3235-9141 72 Zakia Hassan Khamisi 0009-0002-0279-1566 73 Marcin Koprowski 0000-0002-0583-4165 74 Eva Layme 0000-0003-0357-3587 75 A. Joshua Leffler 0000-0002-3389-2493 76 Gauthier Ligot 0000-0002-5508-4358 77 Claudio Sergio Lisi 0000-0002-2837-2784 78 Neil Loader 0000-0002-6841-1813 79 Francisco De Almeida Lobo 0000-0002-5670-0351 80 Giuliano Maselli Locosselli 0000-0002-2178-2027 81 Tomaz Longhi-Santos 0000-0001-9700-2843 82 Lidio Lopez 0000-0001-5254-9618 83 María I. López-Hernández 0000-0003-3378-1125 84 José Luís Penetra Cerveira Lousada 0000-0002-0991-1711 85 Rubén D. Manzanedo 0000-0001-6592-7235 86 Amanda K. Marcon 0000-0002-9640-9825 87 Justin T. Maxwell 0000-0001-9195-3146 88 Omar N. 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Sheppard 0000-0001-5779-7215 125 Lucas C.R. Silva 0000-0002-4838-327x 126 Franziska Slotta 0000-0001-7897-3089 127 Leroy Soria-Díaz 0000-0002-2412-3211 128 Luciana K.V.S. Sousa 0000-0003-4893-0066 129 James H. Speer 0000-0003-1188-0552 130 Matthew D. Therrell 0000-0002-9174-6005 131 Ginette Ticse-Otarola 0000-0002-3815-5206 132 Mario Tomazello-Filho 0000-0002-9814-0778 133 Max C.A. Torbenson 0000-0003-2720-2238 134 Pantana Tor-Ngern 0000-0001-7363-4926 135 Ramzi Touchan 136 Jan Van den Bulcke 0000-0003-2939-5408 137 Lorenzo Vázquez-Selem 0000-0001-7798-6187 138 Adín H. Velázquez-Pérez 0000-0002-0596-2706 139 Alejandro Venegas-González 0000-0003-4568-4533 140 Ricardo Villalba 0000-0001-8183-0310 141 Jose Villanueva-Diaz 0000-0001-8211-1203 142 Mart Vlam 0000-0002-0038-6586 143 George Vourlitis 0000-0003-4304-3951 144 Christian Wehenkel 145 Tommy Wils 0000-0002-5794-0824 146 Erika S. Zavaleta 0000-0002-1769-6492 147 Eshetu Asfaw Zewdu 148 Yong-Jiang Zhang 0000-0001-5637-3015 149 Zhe-Kun Zhou 0000-0002-0710-2128 150 Flurin Babst 0000-0003-4106-7087 151 70087__34941__f50143045a164b74a1907f0e196cd7cb.pdf 70087.AAM.pdf 2025-08-11T16:08:04.5699569 Output 3393094 application/pdf Accepted Manuscript true Author accepted manuscript document released under the terms of a Creative Commons CC-BY licence using the Swansea University Research Publications Policy (rights retention). true eng https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/deed.en |
| title |
Pantropical tree rings show small effects of drought on stem growth |
| spellingShingle |
Pantropical tree rings show small effects of drought on stem growth Neil Loader Iain Robertson |
| title_short |
Pantropical tree rings show small effects of drought on stem growth |
| title_full |
Pantropical tree rings show small effects of drought on stem growth |
| title_fullStr |
Pantropical tree rings show small effects of drought on stem growth |
| title_full_unstemmed |
Pantropical tree rings show small effects of drought on stem growth |
| title_sort |
Pantropical tree rings show small effects of drought on stem growth |
| author_id_str_mv |
8267a62100791965d08df6a7842676e6 ef8912c57e0140e9ecb2a69b7e34467e |
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8267a62100791965d08df6a7842676e6_***_Neil Loader ef8912c57e0140e9ecb2a69b7e34467e_***_Iain Robertson |
| author |
Neil Loader Iain Robertson |
| author2 |
Pieter A. Zuidema Peter Groenendijk Mizanur Rahman Valerie Trouet Abrham Abiyu Rodolfo Acuña-Soto Eduardo Adenesky-Filho Raquel Alfaro-Sánchez Claudio Roberto Anholetto José Roberto Vieira Aragão Gabriel Assis-Pereira Claudia C. Astudillo-Sánchez Ana Carolina Barbosa Giovanna Battipaglia Hans Beeckman Paulo Cesar Botosso Nils Bourland Achim Bräuning Roel Brienen Matthew Brookhouse Supaporn Buajan Brendan M. Buckley J. Julio Camarero Artemio Carrillo-Parra Gregório Ceccantini Librado R. Centeno-Erguera Julián Cerano-Paredes Rosalinda Cervantes-Martínez Wirong Chanthorn Ya-Jun Chen Bruno Barçante Ladvocat Cintra Eladio Heriberto Cornejo-Oviedo Otoniel Cortés-Cortés Clayane Matos Costa Camille Couralet Doris Bianca Crispín-De-La-Cruz Rosanne D’arrigo Diego A. David Maaike De Ridder Jorge Ignacio Del Valle Mário Dobner Jean-Louis Doucet Oliver Dünisch Brian J. Enquist Karin Esemann-Quadros Gerardo Esquivel-Arriaga Ze-Xin Fan Adeline Fayolle Tatiele Anete Bergamo Fenilli M. Eugenia Ferrero Esther Fichtler Patrick M. Finnegan Claudia Fontana Kainana S. Francisco Pei-Li Fu Franklin Galvão Aster Gebrekirstos Jorge A. Giraldo Emanuel Gloor Milena Godoy-Veiga Daniela Granato-Souza Anthony Guerra Kristof Haneca Grant Logan Harley Ingo Heinrich Gerhard Helle Bruna Hornink Wannes Hubau Janet G. Inga Mahmuda Islam Yu-Mei Jiang Mark Kaib Zakia Hassan Khamisi Marcin Koprowski Eva Layme A. Joshua Leffler Gauthier Ligot Claudio Sergio Lisi Neil Loader Francisco De Almeida Lobo Giuliano Maselli Locosselli Tomaz Longhi-Santos Lidio Lopez María I. López-Hernández José Luís Penetra Cerveira Lousada Rubén D. Manzanedo Amanda K. Marcon Justin T. Maxwell Omar N. Mendoza-Villa Ítallo Romany Nunes Menezes Mulugeta Mokria Valdinez Ribeiro Montóia Eddy Moors Miyer Moreno Miguel Angel Muñiz-Castro Cristina Nabais Anuttara Nathalang Justine Ngoma Francisco De Carvalho Nogueira Juliano Morales Oliveira Gabriela Morais Olmedo Daigard Ricardo Ortega-Rodriguez Carmen Eugenia Rodríguez Ortíz Mariana Alves Pagotto Shankar Panthi Kathelyn Paredes-Villanueva Gonzalo Pérez-de-Lis Laura Patricia Ponce Calderón Leif Armando Portal-Cahuana Darwin Alexander Pucha-Cofrep Nathsuda Pumijumnong Paulo Quadri Jorge Andrés Ramírez Edilson Jimmy Requena-Rojas Judith Reyes-Flores Adauto de Souza Ribeiro Iain Robertson Fidel Alejandro Roig José Guilherme Roquette Ernesto Alonso Rubio-Camacho Raúl Sánchez-Salguero Ute Sass-Klaassen Jochen Schöngart Marcelo Callegari Scipioni Paul R. Sheppard Lucas C.R. Silva Franziska Slotta Leroy Soria-Díaz Luciana K.V.S. Sousa James H. Speer Matthew D. Therrell Ginette Ticse-Otarola Mario Tomazello-Filho Max C.A. Torbenson Pantana Tor-Ngern Ramzi Touchan Jan Van den Bulcke Lorenzo Vázquez-Selem Adín H. Velázquez-Pérez Alejandro Venegas-González Ricardo Villalba Jose Villanueva-Diaz Mart Vlam George Vourlitis Christian Wehenkel Tommy Wils Erika S. Zavaleta Eshetu Asfaw Zewdu Yong-Jiang Zhang Zhe-Kun Zhou Flurin Babst |
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Journal article |
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Science |
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389 |
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6759 |
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532 |
| publishDate |
2025 |
| institution |
Swansea University |
| issn |
0036-8075 1095-9203 |
| doi_str_mv |
10.1126/science.adq6607 |
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American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS) |
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Faculty of Science and Engineering |
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facultyofscienceandengineering |
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Faculty of Science and Engineering |
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facultyofscienceandengineering |
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Faculty of Science and Engineering |
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School of Biosciences, Geography and Physics - Geography{{{_:::_}}}Faculty of Science and Engineering{{{_:::_}}}School of Biosciences, Geography and Physics - Geography |
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| description |
Increasing drought pressure under anthropogenic climate change may jeopardize the potential of tropical forests to capture carbon in woody biomass and act as a long-term carbon dioxide sink. To evaluate this risk, we assessed drought impacts in 483 tree-ring chronologies from across the tropics and found an overall modest stem growth decline (2.5% with a 95% confidence interval of 2.2 to 2.7%) during the 10% driest years since 1930. Stem growth declines exceeded 10% in 25% of cases and were larger at hotter and drier sites and for gymnosperms compared with angiosperms. Growth declines generally did not outlast drought years and were partially mitigated by growth stimulation in wet years. Thus, pantropical forest carbon sequestration through stem growth has hitherto shown drought resilience that may, however, diminish under future climate change. |
| published_date |
2025-07-31T05:29:56Z |
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1851097975350099968 |
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11.444343 |

