Causes and consequences of tipping points in river delta social–ecological systems

Cremin, Emilie; Ladd, Cai; Balke, Thorsten; Banerjee, Sumana; Bui, Ly H.; Ghosh, Tuhin; Large, Andy; Van, Hue Thi; Nguyen, Kien V.; Nguyen, Lan X.; N., Tanh T.; Nguyen, Vinh; Pal, Indrajit; Szabo, Sylvia; Tran, Ha; Sebesvari, Zita; Khan, Shah Alam; Renaud, Fabrice G.

doi:10.1007/s13280-023-01978-2

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Causes and consequences of tipping points in river delta social–ecological systems

Emilie Cremin

, Cai Ladd

, Thorsten Balke

, Sumana Banerjee

, Ly H. Bui, Tuhin Ghosh

, Andy Large

, Hue Thi Van Le, Kien V. Nguyen, Lan X. Nguyen

, Tanh T. N. Nguyen

, Vinh Nguyen, Indrajit Pal

, Sylvia Szabo, Ha Tran, Zita Sebesvari

, Shah Alam Khan, Fabrice G. Renaud

Ambio

Swansea University Author: Cai Ladd

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DOI (Published version): 10.1007/s13280-023-01978-2

Abstract

The sustainability of social-ecological systems within river deltas globally is in question as rapid development and environmental change trigger "negative” or “positive” tipping points depending on actors’ perspectives, e.g., regime shift from abundant sediment deposition to sediment shortage,...

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Published in:	Ambio
ISSN:	0044-7447 1654-7209
Published:	Springer Science and Business Media LLC 2024
Online Access:	Check full text
URI:	https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa65811
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spelling	v2 65811 2024-03-11 Causes and consequences of tipping points in river delta social–ecological systems 134c870190db4c365e2ccc2d6c107462 0000-0001-5437-6474 Cai Ladd Cai Ladd true false 2024-03-11 SGE The sustainability of social-ecological systems within river deltas globally is in question as rapid development and environmental change trigger "negative” or “positive” tipping points depending on actors’ perspectives, e.g., regime shift from abundant sediment deposition to sediment shortage, agricultural sustainability to agricultural collapse or shift from rural to urban land. Using a systematic review of the literature, we show how cascading effects across anthropogenic, ecological, and geophysical processes have triggered numerous tipping points in the governance, hydrological and land use management of the world’s river deltas. Crossing tipping points had both positive and negative effects that generally enhanced economic development to the detriment of the environment. Assessment of deltas that featured prominently in the review revealed how outcomes of tipping points can inform the long-term trajectory of deltas towards sustainability or collapse. Management of key drivers at the delta scale can trigger positive tipping points to place social-ecological systems on a pathway towards sustainable development. Journal Article Ambio 0 Springer Science and Business Media LLC 0044-7447 1654-7209 Tipping points; cascading effects; river deltas; Social-ecological systems; Sustainable Development; systematic literature review 13 4 2024 2024-04-13 10.1007/s13280-023-01978-2 COLLEGE NANME Geography COLLEGE CODE SGE Swansea University Another institution paid the OA fee We acknowledge the funding received from the UKRI GCRF Living Deltas Hub under Grant Reference NE/S008926/1. This research is also funded by Vietnam National University, Ho Chi Minh City (VNU-HCM) under Grant Number TX2024-16-01 (time contribution of staff at Climate Change Institute, An Giang University). 2024-04-24T15:02:44.5851764 2024-03-11T12:34:30.9656034 Faculty of Science and Engineering School of Biosciences, Geography and Physics - Geography Emilie Cremin 0000-0003-4732-2376 1 Cai Ladd 0000-0001-5437-6474 2 Thorsten Balke 0000-0001-7733-5069 3 Sumana Banerjee 0000-0002-1009-8123 4 Ly H. Bui 5 Tuhin Ghosh 0000-0002-3466-867x 6 Andy Large 0000-0002-3835-351x 7 Hue Thi Van Le 8 Kien V. Nguyen 9 Lan X. Nguyen 0000-0002-5691-7251 10 Tanh T. N. Nguyen 0000-0002-0847-4185 11 Vinh Nguyen 12 Indrajit Pal 0000-0002-8743-8122 13 Sylvia Szabo 14 Ha Tran 15 Zita Sebesvari 0000-0001-7686-1227 16 Shah Alam Khan 17 Fabrice G. Renaud 0000-0002-0830-1196 18 65811__30136__241ea18e19d34b6d8f89b7a21d25a810.pdf 65811.VoR.pdf 2024-04-24T14:58:55.7059206 Output 4290060 application/pdf Version of Record true © Crown 2024. This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License. true eng http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
title	Causes and consequences of tipping points in river delta social–ecological systems
spellingShingle	Causes and consequences of tipping points in river delta social–ecological systems Cai Ladd
title_short	Causes and consequences of tipping points in river delta social–ecological systems
title_full	Causes and consequences of tipping points in river delta social–ecological systems
title_fullStr	Causes and consequences of tipping points in river delta social–ecological systems
title_full_unstemmed	Causes and consequences of tipping points in river delta social–ecological systems
title_sort	Causes and consequences of tipping points in river delta social–ecological systems
author_id_str_mv	134c870190db4c365e2ccc2d6c107462
author_id_fullname_str_mv	134c870190db4c365e2ccc2d6c107462_***_Cai Ladd
author	Cai Ladd
author2	Emilie Cremin Cai Ladd Thorsten Balke Sumana Banerjee Ly H. Bui Tuhin Ghosh Andy Large Hue Thi Van Le Kien V. Nguyen Lan X. Nguyen Tanh T. N. Nguyen Vinh Nguyen Indrajit Pal Sylvia Szabo Ha Tran Zita Sebesvari Shah Alam Khan Fabrice G. Renaud
format	Journal article
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publishDate	2024
institution	Swansea University
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doi_str_mv	10.1007/s13280-023-01978-2
publisher	Springer Science and Business Media LLC
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department_str	School of Biosciences, Geography and Physics - Geography{{{_:::_}}}Faculty of Science and Engineering{{{_:::_}}}School of Biosciences, Geography and Physics - Geography
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description	The sustainability of social-ecological systems within river deltas globally is in question as rapid development and environmental change trigger "negative” or “positive” tipping points depending on actors’ perspectives, e.g., regime shift from abundant sediment deposition to sediment shortage, agricultural sustainability to agricultural collapse or shift from rural to urban land. Using a systematic review of the literature, we show how cascading effects across anthropogenic, ecological, and geophysical processes have triggered numerous tipping points in the governance, hydrological and land use management of the world’s river deltas. Crossing tipping points had both positive and negative effects that generally enhanced economic development to the detriment of the environment. Assessment of deltas that featured prominently in the review revealed how outcomes of tipping points can inform the long-term trajectory of deltas towards sustainability or collapse. Management of key drivers at the delta scale can trigger positive tipping points to place social-ecological systems on a pathway towards sustainable development.
published_date	2024-04-13T15:02:44Z
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Causes and consequences of tipping points in river delta social–ecological systems

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