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Healthcare use attributable to COVID-19: a propensity-matched national electronic health records cohort study of 249,390 people in Wales, UK
BMC Medicine, Volume: 21, Issue: 1
Swansea University Authors: Jonathan Kennedy, Michael Parker , Mike Seaborne , Mohamed Mhereeg, Tash Kennedy , Sinead Brophy
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DOI (Published version): 10.1186/s12916-023-02897-5
Abstract
Background: To determine the extent and nature of changes associated with COVID-19 infection in terms of healthcare utilisation, this study observed healthcare contact 1 to 4 and 5 to 24 weeks following a COVID-19 diagnosis compared to propensity-matched controls.Methods: Two hundred forty nine thou...
Published in: | BMC Medicine |
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ISSN: | 1741-7015 |
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Springer Science and Business Media LLC
2023
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URI: | https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa63736 |
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After elimination criteria, 98,600 positive individuals were matched to test negative and never tested controls using propensity matching. Cohorts were split on test location. Tests could be taken in either the hospital or community. Controls were those who had tested negative in their respective environments. Survival analysis was utilised for first clinicaloutcomes which are grouped into primary and secondary. Primary outcomes include post-viral-illness and fatigue as an indication of long-COVID. Secondary outcomes include clinical terminology concepts for embolism, respiratory conditions, mental health conditions, ft notes, or hospital attendance. Increased instantaneous risk for positive individuals was quantified using hazard ratios (HR) from Cox regression, while absolute risk (AR) and relative risk were quantified using life table analysis.Results: Analysis was conducted using all individuals and stratified by test location. Cases are compared to controls from the same test location. Fatigue (HR: 1.77, 95% CI: 1.34–2.25, p= <0.001) and embolism (HR: 1.50, 95% CI: 1.15–1.97, p=0.003) were more likely to occur in all positive individuals in the first 4 weeks; however, anxiety and depression (HR: 0.83, 95% CI: 0.73–0.95, p=0.007) were less likely. Positive individuals continued to be more at risk of fatigue(HR: 1.47, 95% CI: 1.24–1.75, p= <0.001) and embolism (HR: 1.51, 95% CI: 1.13–2.02, p=0.005) after 4 weeks. All positive individuals are also at greater risk of post-viral illness (HR: 4.57, 95% CI: 1.77–11.80, p=0.002). 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2024-11-04T12:05:59.7972869 v2 63736 2023-06-28 Healthcare use attributable to COVID-19: a propensity-matched national electronic health records cohort study of 249,390 people in Wales, UK 08163d1f58d7fefcb1c695bcc2e0ef68 Jonathan Kennedy Jonathan Kennedy true false a4dfe07a6b18fdf6d537962b8f24fbdf 0000-0002-0350-6360 Michael Parker Michael Parker true false fcc7ece0f04577ad5f283b00dd7f52cf 0000-0002-4921-7556 Mike Seaborne Mike Seaborne true false ef78c0301f61ea4c72dd0670e61f72df Mohamed Mhereeg Mohamed Mhereeg true false 3f6f07de33204db4c0ab665fb4b36367 0000-0002-1500-7112 Tash Kennedy Tash Kennedy true false 84f5661b35a729f55047f9e793d8798b 0000-0001-7417-2858 Sinead Brophy Sinead Brophy true false 2023-06-28 MEDS Background: To determine the extent and nature of changes associated with COVID-19 infection in terms of healthcare utilisation, this study observed healthcare contact 1 to 4 and 5 to 24 weeks following a COVID-19 diagnosis compared to propensity-matched controls.Methods: Two hundred forty nine thousand three hundred ninety Welsh individuals with a positive reverse transcription–polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) test were identified from data from national PCR test results. After elimination criteria, 98,600 positive individuals were matched to test negative and never tested controls using propensity matching. Cohorts were split on test location. Tests could be taken in either the hospital or community. Controls were those who had tested negative in their respective environments. Survival analysis was utilised for first clinicaloutcomes which are grouped into primary and secondary. Primary outcomes include post-viral-illness and fatigue as an indication of long-COVID. Secondary outcomes include clinical terminology concepts for embolism, respiratory conditions, mental health conditions, ft notes, or hospital attendance. Increased instantaneous risk for positive individuals was quantified using hazard ratios (HR) from Cox regression, while absolute risk (AR) and relative risk were quantified using life table analysis.Results: Analysis was conducted using all individuals and stratified by test location. Cases are compared to controls from the same test location. Fatigue (HR: 1.77, 95% CI: 1.34–2.25, p= <0.001) and embolism (HR: 1.50, 95% CI: 1.15–1.97, p=0.003) were more likely to occur in all positive individuals in the first 4 weeks; however, anxiety and depression (HR: 0.83, 95% CI: 0.73–0.95, p=0.007) were less likely. Positive individuals continued to be more at risk of fatigue(HR: 1.47, 95% CI: 1.24–1.75, p= <0.001) and embolism (HR: 1.51, 95% CI: 1.13–2.02, p=0.005) after 4 weeks. All positive individuals are also at greater risk of post-viral illness (HR: 4.57, 95% CI: 1.77–11.80, p=0.002). Despite statistical association between testing positive and several conditions, life table analysis shows that only a small minority of the studypopulation were affected. Journal Article BMC Medicine 21 1 Springer Science and Business Media LLC 1741-7015 19 7 2023 2023-07-19 10.1186/s12916-023-02897-5 COLLEGE NANME Medical School COLLEGE CODE MEDS Swansea University External research funder(s) paid the OA fee (includes OA grants disbursed by the Library) UKRI, MC_PC_20059, MC_PC_20030. 2024-11-04T12:05:59.7972869 2023-06-28T12:54:54.5104328 Faculty of Medicine, Health and Life Sciences Swansea University Medical School - Medicine Jonathan Kennedy 1 Michael Parker 0000-0002-0350-6360 2 Mike Seaborne 0000-0002-4921-7556 3 Mohamed Mhereeg 4 A Walker 5 V Walker 6 S Denaxas 7 Tash Kennedy 0000-0002-1500-7112 8 S. V Katikireddi 9 Sinead Brophy 0000-0001-7417-2858 10 63736__28681__2d7365a047f34d37ab81b31faa17bcef.pdf 63736.VOR.pdf 2023-10-02T17:34:08.9652389 Output 3690292 application/pdf Version of Record true © The Author(s) 2023. Open Access This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons licence, and indicate if changes were made true eng http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ |
title |
Healthcare use attributable to COVID-19: a propensity-matched national electronic health records cohort study of 249,390 people in Wales, UK |
spellingShingle |
Healthcare use attributable to COVID-19: a propensity-matched national electronic health records cohort study of 249,390 people in Wales, UK Jonathan Kennedy Michael Parker Mike Seaborne Mohamed Mhereeg Tash Kennedy Sinead Brophy |
title_short |
Healthcare use attributable to COVID-19: a propensity-matched national electronic health records cohort study of 249,390 people in Wales, UK |
title_full |
Healthcare use attributable to COVID-19: a propensity-matched national electronic health records cohort study of 249,390 people in Wales, UK |
title_fullStr |
Healthcare use attributable to COVID-19: a propensity-matched national electronic health records cohort study of 249,390 people in Wales, UK |
title_full_unstemmed |
Healthcare use attributable to COVID-19: a propensity-matched national electronic health records cohort study of 249,390 people in Wales, UK |
title_sort |
Healthcare use attributable to COVID-19: a propensity-matched national electronic health records cohort study of 249,390 people in Wales, UK |
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Jonathan Kennedy Michael Parker Mike Seaborne Mohamed Mhereeg Tash Kennedy Sinead Brophy |
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Jonathan Kennedy Michael Parker Mike Seaborne Mohamed Mhereeg A Walker V Walker S Denaxas Tash Kennedy S. V Katikireddi Sinead Brophy |
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Background: To determine the extent and nature of changes associated with COVID-19 infection in terms of healthcare utilisation, this study observed healthcare contact 1 to 4 and 5 to 24 weeks following a COVID-19 diagnosis compared to propensity-matched controls.Methods: Two hundred forty nine thousand three hundred ninety Welsh individuals with a positive reverse transcription–polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) test were identified from data from national PCR test results. After elimination criteria, 98,600 positive individuals were matched to test negative and never tested controls using propensity matching. Cohorts were split on test location. Tests could be taken in either the hospital or community. Controls were those who had tested negative in their respective environments. Survival analysis was utilised for first clinicaloutcomes which are grouped into primary and secondary. Primary outcomes include post-viral-illness and fatigue as an indication of long-COVID. Secondary outcomes include clinical terminology concepts for embolism, respiratory conditions, mental health conditions, ft notes, or hospital attendance. Increased instantaneous risk for positive individuals was quantified using hazard ratios (HR) from Cox regression, while absolute risk (AR) and relative risk were quantified using life table analysis.Results: Analysis was conducted using all individuals and stratified by test location. Cases are compared to controls from the same test location. Fatigue (HR: 1.77, 95% CI: 1.34–2.25, p= <0.001) and embolism (HR: 1.50, 95% CI: 1.15–1.97, p=0.003) were more likely to occur in all positive individuals in the first 4 weeks; however, anxiety and depression (HR: 0.83, 95% CI: 0.73–0.95, p=0.007) were less likely. Positive individuals continued to be more at risk of fatigue(HR: 1.47, 95% CI: 1.24–1.75, p= <0.001) and embolism (HR: 1.51, 95% CI: 1.13–2.02, p=0.005) after 4 weeks. All positive individuals are also at greater risk of post-viral illness (HR: 4.57, 95% CI: 1.77–11.80, p=0.002). Despite statistical association between testing positive and several conditions, life table analysis shows that only a small minority of the studypopulation were affected. |
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2023-07-19T02:40:34Z |
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