No Cover Image

Journal article 556 views 57 downloads

Estimating the Effects of Secure Services on Reconviction. Part 2 – Fewer Convictions Than Expected? Six Year Follow Up of an England and Wales Medium Secure Cohort

Charlotte Hill, Ruth Bagshaw, Paul Hewlett, Nick Perham, Jason Davies Orcid Logo, Anthony Maden, Andrew Watt

International Journal of Forensic Mental Health, Volume: 23, Issue: 1, Pages: 76 - 84

Swansea University Author: Jason Davies Orcid Logo

  • Estimating the Effects of Secure Services on Reconviction Part 2 Fewer Convictions Than Expected Six Year Follow Up of an England and Wales Medium.pdf

    PDF | Version of Record

    2023 The Author(s). Published with license by Taylor & Francis Group, LLC This is an Open Access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/bync-nd/4.0/), which permits non-commercial re-use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited, and is not altered, transformed, or built upon in any way.

    Download (1.49MB)

Check full text

DOI (Published version): 10.1080/14999013.2023.2183528

Abstract

The effect of medium secure care on reoffending is unknown; adequate control groups cannot be identified and exposure to reconviction may be confounded by onward placement and by legal restrictions. Retrospective analysis of convictions for an England and Wales National Cohort of adults discharged f...

Full description

Published in: International Journal of Forensic Mental Health
ISSN: 1499-9013 1932-9903
Published: Informa UK Limited 2023
Online Access: Check full text

URI: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa62793
first_indexed 2023-03-06T10:56:48Z
last_indexed 2024-11-15T18:00:17Z
id cronfa62793
recordtype SURis
fullrecord <?xml version="1.0"?><rfc1807><datestamp>2024-11-15T15:43:17.7112220</datestamp><bib-version>v2</bib-version><id>62793</id><entry>2023-03-06</entry><title>Estimating the Effects of Secure Services on Reconviction. Part 2 &#x2013; Fewer Convictions Than Expected? Six Year Follow Up of an England and Wales Medium Secure Cohort</title><swanseaauthors><author><sid>b7dab4136f5c9c0614cda9bf2d5910b0</sid><ORCID>0000-0002-1694-5370</ORCID><firstname>Jason</firstname><surname>Davies</surname><name>Jason Davies</name><active>true</active><ethesisStudent>false</ethesisStudent></author></swanseaauthors><date>2023-03-06</date><deptcode>PSYS</deptcode><abstract>The effect of medium secure care on reoffending is unknown; adequate control groups cannot be identified and exposure to reconviction may be confounded by onward placement and by legal restrictions. Retrospective analysis of convictions for an England and Wales National Cohort of adults discharged from 35 medium secure services during 1997/8. Data were retrieved from the Offenders Index and from each service. Reconviction risk for 711 cases was estimated using Offending Groups Reconviction Scale-2 (OGRS-2). Reconviction (any standard list offense) served as the sole outcome during a uniform six-year follow up. Reconviction outcomes were highest following transfer to prison, reduced by further secure care whilst restriction orders were effective in reducing convictions only in those at high risk. Substantial reductions in reconvictions were observed across the full range of criminogenic risk after control of the above confounding. OGRS-2 proved a useful assay for estimating the effects of secure services on reconvictions. Analysis of more contemporary samples using the current methods and more recent versions of OGRS is warranted.</abstract><type>Journal Article</type><journal>International Journal of Forensic Mental Health</journal><volume>23</volume><journalNumber>1</journalNumber><paginationStart>76</paginationStart><paginationEnd>84</paginationEnd><publisher>Informa UK Limited</publisher><placeOfPublication/><isbnPrint/><isbnElectronic/><issnPrint>1499-9013</issnPrint><issnElectronic>1932-9903</issnElectronic><keywords>Reconviction, medium secure, actuarial control, discharge location, restriction order</keywords><publishedDay>28</publishedDay><publishedMonth>2</publishedMonth><publishedYear>2023</publishedYear><publishedDate>2023-02-28</publishedDate><doi>10.1080/14999013.2023.2183528</doi><url>http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/14999013.2023.2183528</url><notes/><college>COLLEGE NANME</college><department>Psychology School</department><CollegeCode>COLLEGE CODE</CollegeCode><DepartmentCode>PSYS</DepartmentCode><institution>Swansea University</institution><apcterm>Another institution paid the OA fee</apcterm><funders/><projectreference/><lastEdited>2024-11-15T15:43:17.7112220</lastEdited><Created>2023-03-06T10:36:10.7738931</Created><path><level id="1">Faculty of Medicine, Health and Life Sciences</level><level id="2">School of Psychology</level></path><authors><author><firstname>Charlotte</firstname><surname>Hill</surname><order>1</order></author><author><firstname>Ruth</firstname><surname>Bagshaw</surname><order>2</order></author><author><firstname>Paul</firstname><surname>Hewlett</surname><order>3</order></author><author><firstname>Nick</firstname><surname>Perham</surname><order>4</order></author><author><firstname>Jason</firstname><surname>Davies</surname><orcid>0000-0002-1694-5370</orcid><order>5</order></author><author><firstname>Anthony</firstname><surname>Maden</surname><order>6</order></author><author><firstname>Andrew</firstname><surname>Watt</surname><order>7</order></author></authors><documents><document><filename>62793__26746__4a819bc841044608817e14bb279cb86f.pdf</filename><originalFilename>Estimating the Effects of Secure Services on Reconviction Part 2 Fewer Convictions Than Expected Six Year Follow Up of an England and Wales Medium.pdf</originalFilename><uploaded>2023-03-06T10:56:14.6963221</uploaded><type>Output</type><contentLength>1558366</contentLength><contentType>application/pdf</contentType><version>Version of Record</version><cronfaStatus>true</cronfaStatus><documentNotes>2023 The Author(s). Published with license by Taylor &amp; Francis Group, LLC This is an Open Access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/bync-nd/4.0/), which permits non-commercial re-use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited, and is not altered, transformed, or built upon in any way.</documentNotes><copyrightCorrect>true</copyrightCorrect><language>eng</language><licence>http://creativecommons.org/licenses/bync-nd/4.0/</licence></document></documents><OutputDurs/></rfc1807>
spelling 2024-11-15T15:43:17.7112220 v2 62793 2023-03-06 Estimating the Effects of Secure Services on Reconviction. Part 2 – Fewer Convictions Than Expected? Six Year Follow Up of an England and Wales Medium Secure Cohort b7dab4136f5c9c0614cda9bf2d5910b0 0000-0002-1694-5370 Jason Davies Jason Davies true false 2023-03-06 PSYS The effect of medium secure care on reoffending is unknown; adequate control groups cannot be identified and exposure to reconviction may be confounded by onward placement and by legal restrictions. Retrospective analysis of convictions for an England and Wales National Cohort of adults discharged from 35 medium secure services during 1997/8. Data were retrieved from the Offenders Index and from each service. Reconviction risk for 711 cases was estimated using Offending Groups Reconviction Scale-2 (OGRS-2). Reconviction (any standard list offense) served as the sole outcome during a uniform six-year follow up. Reconviction outcomes were highest following transfer to prison, reduced by further secure care whilst restriction orders were effective in reducing convictions only in those at high risk. Substantial reductions in reconvictions were observed across the full range of criminogenic risk after control of the above confounding. OGRS-2 proved a useful assay for estimating the effects of secure services on reconvictions. Analysis of more contemporary samples using the current methods and more recent versions of OGRS is warranted. Journal Article International Journal of Forensic Mental Health 23 1 76 84 Informa UK Limited 1499-9013 1932-9903 Reconviction, medium secure, actuarial control, discharge location, restriction order 28 2 2023 2023-02-28 10.1080/14999013.2023.2183528 http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/14999013.2023.2183528 COLLEGE NANME Psychology School COLLEGE CODE PSYS Swansea University Another institution paid the OA fee 2024-11-15T15:43:17.7112220 2023-03-06T10:36:10.7738931 Faculty of Medicine, Health and Life Sciences School of Psychology Charlotte Hill 1 Ruth Bagshaw 2 Paul Hewlett 3 Nick Perham 4 Jason Davies 0000-0002-1694-5370 5 Anthony Maden 6 Andrew Watt 7 62793__26746__4a819bc841044608817e14bb279cb86f.pdf Estimating the Effects of Secure Services on Reconviction Part 2 Fewer Convictions Than Expected Six Year Follow Up of an England and Wales Medium.pdf 2023-03-06T10:56:14.6963221 Output 1558366 application/pdf Version of Record true 2023 The Author(s). Published with license by Taylor & Francis Group, LLC This is an Open Access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/bync-nd/4.0/), which permits non-commercial re-use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited, and is not altered, transformed, or built upon in any way. true eng http://creativecommons.org/licenses/bync-nd/4.0/
title Estimating the Effects of Secure Services on Reconviction. Part 2 – Fewer Convictions Than Expected? Six Year Follow Up of an England and Wales Medium Secure Cohort
spellingShingle Estimating the Effects of Secure Services on Reconviction. Part 2 – Fewer Convictions Than Expected? Six Year Follow Up of an England and Wales Medium Secure Cohort
Jason Davies
title_short Estimating the Effects of Secure Services on Reconviction. Part 2 – Fewer Convictions Than Expected? Six Year Follow Up of an England and Wales Medium Secure Cohort
title_full Estimating the Effects of Secure Services on Reconviction. Part 2 – Fewer Convictions Than Expected? Six Year Follow Up of an England and Wales Medium Secure Cohort
title_fullStr Estimating the Effects of Secure Services on Reconviction. Part 2 – Fewer Convictions Than Expected? Six Year Follow Up of an England and Wales Medium Secure Cohort
title_full_unstemmed Estimating the Effects of Secure Services on Reconviction. Part 2 – Fewer Convictions Than Expected? Six Year Follow Up of an England and Wales Medium Secure Cohort
title_sort Estimating the Effects of Secure Services on Reconviction. Part 2 – Fewer Convictions Than Expected? Six Year Follow Up of an England and Wales Medium Secure Cohort
author_id_str_mv b7dab4136f5c9c0614cda9bf2d5910b0
author_id_fullname_str_mv b7dab4136f5c9c0614cda9bf2d5910b0_***_Jason Davies
author Jason Davies
author2 Charlotte Hill
Ruth Bagshaw
Paul Hewlett
Nick Perham
Jason Davies
Anthony Maden
Andrew Watt
format Journal article
container_title International Journal of Forensic Mental Health
container_volume 23
container_issue 1
container_start_page 76
publishDate 2023
institution Swansea University
issn 1499-9013
1932-9903
doi_str_mv 10.1080/14999013.2023.2183528
publisher Informa UK Limited
college_str Faculty of Medicine, Health and Life Sciences
hierarchytype
hierarchy_top_id facultyofmedicinehealthandlifesciences
hierarchy_top_title Faculty of Medicine, Health and Life Sciences
hierarchy_parent_id facultyofmedicinehealthandlifesciences
hierarchy_parent_title Faculty of Medicine, Health and Life Sciences
department_str School of Psychology{{{_:::_}}}Faculty of Medicine, Health and Life Sciences{{{_:::_}}}School of Psychology
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/14999013.2023.2183528
document_store_str 1
active_str 0
description The effect of medium secure care on reoffending is unknown; adequate control groups cannot be identified and exposure to reconviction may be confounded by onward placement and by legal restrictions. Retrospective analysis of convictions for an England and Wales National Cohort of adults discharged from 35 medium secure services during 1997/8. Data were retrieved from the Offenders Index and from each service. Reconviction risk for 711 cases was estimated using Offending Groups Reconviction Scale-2 (OGRS-2). Reconviction (any standard list offense) served as the sole outcome during a uniform six-year follow up. Reconviction outcomes were highest following transfer to prison, reduced by further secure care whilst restriction orders were effective in reducing convictions only in those at high risk. Substantial reductions in reconvictions were observed across the full range of criminogenic risk after control of the above confounding. OGRS-2 proved a useful assay for estimating the effects of secure services on reconvictions. Analysis of more contemporary samples using the current methods and more recent versions of OGRS is warranted.
published_date 2023-02-28T14:23:04Z
_version_ 1821325115988639744
score 11.564073

Similar Items