Journal article 1180 views
Boom-bust dynamics in biological invasions: towards an improved application of the concept
David L. Strayer,
Carla M. D'Antonio,
Franz Essl,
Mike Fowler ,
Juergen Geist,
Sabine Hilt,
Ivan Jarić,
Klaus Jöhnk,
Clive G. Jones,
Xavier Lambin,
Alexander W. Latzka,
Jan Pergl,
Petr Pyšek,
Peter Robertson,
Menja von Schmalensee,
Robert A. Stefansson,
Justin Wright,
Jonathan M. Jeschke
Ecology Letters, Volume: 20, Issue: 10, Pages: 1337 - 1350
Swansea University Author: Mike Fowler
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DOI (Published version): 10.1111/ele.12822
Abstract
Boom-bust dynamics – the rise of a population to outbreak levels, followed by a dramatic decline – have been associated with biological invasions and offered as a reason not to manage trouble- some invaders. However, boom-bust dynamics rarely have been critically defined, analyzed, or interpreted. H...
Published in: | Ecology Letters |
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ISSN: | 1461023X |
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2017
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URI: | https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa34947 |
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2018-02-09T12:15:35.8498011 v2 34947 2017-08-21 Boom-bust dynamics in biological invasions: towards an improved application of the concept a3a29027498d4b43a3f082a0a5ba16b4 0000-0003-1544-0407 Mike Fowler Mike Fowler true false 2017-08-21 SBI Boom-bust dynamics – the rise of a population to outbreak levels, followed by a dramatic decline – have been associated with biological invasions and offered as a reason not to manage trouble- some invaders. However, boom-bust dynamics rarely have been critically defined, analyzed, or interpreted. Here, we define boom-bust dynamics and provide specific suggestions for improving the application of the boom-bust concept. Boom-bust dynamics can arise from many causes, some closely associated with invasions, but others occurring across a wide range of ecological settings, especially when environmental conditions are changing rapidly. As a result, it is difficult to infer cause or predict future trajectories merely by observing the dynamic. We use tests with simulated data to show that a common metric for detecting and describing boom-bust dynamics, decline from an observed peak to a subsequent trough, tends to severely overestimate the frequency and severity of busts, and should be used cautiously if at all. We review and test other metrics that are better suited to describe boom-bust dynamics. Understanding the frequency and importance of boom-bust dynamics requires empirical studies of large, representative, long-term data sets that use clear definitions of boom-bust, appropriate analytical methods, and careful interpretations. Journal Article Ecology Letters 20 10 1337 1350 1461023X alien species, biological invasions, concepts, exotic species, invasive species, long-term, manage- ment, non-native species, population collapse, population crash, population dynamics, reckless invaders, systematic review 17 9 2017 2017-09-17 10.1111/ele.12822 COLLEGE NANME Biosciences COLLEGE CODE SBI Swansea University 2018-02-09T12:15:35.8498011 2017-08-21T14:11:32.5286149 Faculty of Science and Engineering School of Biosciences, Geography and Physics - Biosciences David L. Strayer 1 Carla M. D'Antonio 2 Franz Essl 3 Mike Fowler 0000-0003-1544-0407 4 Juergen Geist 5 Sabine Hilt 6 Ivan Jarić 7 Klaus Jöhnk 8 Clive G. Jones 9 Xavier Lambin 10 Alexander W. Latzka 11 Jan Pergl 12 Petr Pyšek 13 Peter Robertson 14 Menja von Schmalensee 15 Robert A. Stefansson 16 Justin Wright 17 Jonathan M. Jeschke 18 |
title |
Boom-bust dynamics in biological invasions: towards an improved application of the concept |
spellingShingle |
Boom-bust dynamics in biological invasions: towards an improved application of the concept Mike Fowler |
title_short |
Boom-bust dynamics in biological invasions: towards an improved application of the concept |
title_full |
Boom-bust dynamics in biological invasions: towards an improved application of the concept |
title_fullStr |
Boom-bust dynamics in biological invasions: towards an improved application of the concept |
title_full_unstemmed |
Boom-bust dynamics in biological invasions: towards an improved application of the concept |
title_sort |
Boom-bust dynamics in biological invasions: towards an improved application of the concept |
author_id_str_mv |
a3a29027498d4b43a3f082a0a5ba16b4 |
author_id_fullname_str_mv |
a3a29027498d4b43a3f082a0a5ba16b4_***_Mike Fowler |
author |
Mike Fowler |
author2 |
David L. Strayer Carla M. D'Antonio Franz Essl Mike Fowler Juergen Geist Sabine Hilt Ivan Jarić Klaus Jöhnk Clive G. Jones Xavier Lambin Alexander W. Latzka Jan Pergl Petr Pyšek Peter Robertson Menja von Schmalensee Robert A. Stefansson Justin Wright Jonathan M. Jeschke |
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Journal article |
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Ecology Letters |
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20 |
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10 |
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1337 |
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2017 |
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Swansea University |
issn |
1461023X |
doi_str_mv |
10.1111/ele.12822 |
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Faculty of Science and Engineering |
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Faculty of Science and Engineering |
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School of Biosciences, Geography and Physics - Biosciences{{{_:::_}}}Faculty of Science and Engineering{{{_:::_}}}School of Biosciences, Geography and Physics - Biosciences |
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description |
Boom-bust dynamics – the rise of a population to outbreak levels, followed by a dramatic decline – have been associated with biological invasions and offered as a reason not to manage trouble- some invaders. However, boom-bust dynamics rarely have been critically defined, analyzed, or interpreted. Here, we define boom-bust dynamics and provide specific suggestions for improving the application of the boom-bust concept. Boom-bust dynamics can arise from many causes, some closely associated with invasions, but others occurring across a wide range of ecological settings, especially when environmental conditions are changing rapidly. As a result, it is difficult to infer cause or predict future trajectories merely by observing the dynamic. We use tests with simulated data to show that a common metric for detecting and describing boom-bust dynamics, decline from an observed peak to a subsequent trough, tends to severely overestimate the frequency and severity of busts, and should be used cautiously if at all. We review and test other metrics that are better suited to describe boom-bust dynamics. Understanding the frequency and importance of boom-bust dynamics requires empirical studies of large, representative, long-term data sets that use clear definitions of boom-bust, appropriate analytical methods, and careful interpretations. |
published_date |
2017-09-17T03:43:23Z |
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1763752021540732928 |
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11.037581 |