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What Does It Take to Get Elected in a Post-Communist Democracy?: Explaining the Success and Failure of Parliamentary Candidates in Estonia

S. Trumm, Siim Trumm Orcid Logo

East European Politics & Societies, Volume: 30, Issue: 1, Pages: 169 - 188

Swansea University Author: Siim Trumm Orcid Logo

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DOI (Published version): 10.1177/0888325415577862

Abstract

The literature on post-communist democracies has traditionally suggested that organisational strength is considerably less important for electoral success than extensive media-based campaigns. Recent studies on party-level electoral dynamics, however, indicate that this might not be the case any lon...

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Published in: East European Politics & Societies
Published: 2016
URI: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa23319
first_indexed 2015-09-16T02:08:37Z
last_indexed 2018-02-09T05:02:01Z
id cronfa23319
recordtype SURis
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spelling 2017-02-01T11:53:08.6402460 v2 23319 2015-09-15 What Does It Take to Get Elected in a Post-Communist Democracy?: Explaining the Success and Failure of Parliamentary Candidates in Estonia c1a51e60fa144fc233c7e44771c772f6 0000-0002-2508-3346 Siim Trumm Siim Trumm true false 2015-09-15 SOSS The literature on post-communist democracies has traditionally suggested that organisational strength is considerably less important for electoral success than extensive media-based campaigns. Recent studies on party-level electoral dynamics, however, indicate that this might not be the case any longer. Building on these insights, this study goes beyond the party-level analyses of electoral success and failure by focusing on the electoral fortunes of individual candidates in a post-communist democracy. Using original data from the 2011 Estonian Candidate Survey, this paper looks at the comparative impact of candidates’ campaign spending and the strength of their local party organisation, alongside other potentially relevant characteristics, on their likelihood of getting elected and vote share. The findings suggest that candidates’ electoral performance in Estonia is still first and foremost shaped by their own campaign spending. In addition, I find evidence that candidates fare better if they have prior local-level and national-level political experience, conduct more personalised campaigns, and are positioned higher up on their party’s district-level list. Journal Article East European Politics & Societies 30 1 169 188 Electoral performance, party organisation, campaign spending, post-communist politics 31 12 2016 2016-12-31 10.1177/0888325415577862 COLLEGE NANME Social Sciences School COLLEGE CODE SOSS Swansea University 2017-02-01T11:53:08.6402460 2015-09-15T16:32:01.6753983 Faculty of Humanities and Social Sciences School of Culture and Communication - Politics, Philosophy and International Relations S. Trumm 1 Siim Trumm 0000-0002-2508-3346 2
title What Does It Take to Get Elected in a Post-Communist Democracy?: Explaining the Success and Failure of Parliamentary Candidates in Estonia
spellingShingle What Does It Take to Get Elected in a Post-Communist Democracy?: Explaining the Success and Failure of Parliamentary Candidates in Estonia
Siim Trumm
title_short What Does It Take to Get Elected in a Post-Communist Democracy?: Explaining the Success and Failure of Parliamentary Candidates in Estonia
title_full What Does It Take to Get Elected in a Post-Communist Democracy?: Explaining the Success and Failure of Parliamentary Candidates in Estonia
title_fullStr What Does It Take to Get Elected in a Post-Communist Democracy?: Explaining the Success and Failure of Parliamentary Candidates in Estonia
title_full_unstemmed What Does It Take to Get Elected in a Post-Communist Democracy?: Explaining the Success and Failure of Parliamentary Candidates in Estonia
title_sort What Does It Take to Get Elected in a Post-Communist Democracy?: Explaining the Success and Failure of Parliamentary Candidates in Estonia
author_id_str_mv c1a51e60fa144fc233c7e44771c772f6
author_id_fullname_str_mv c1a51e60fa144fc233c7e44771c772f6_***_Siim Trumm
author Siim Trumm
author2 S. Trumm
Siim Trumm
format Journal article
container_title East European Politics & Societies
container_volume 30
container_issue 1
container_start_page 169
publishDate 2016
institution Swansea University
doi_str_mv 10.1177/0888325415577862
college_str Faculty of Humanities and Social Sciences
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hierarchy_top_id facultyofhumanitiesandsocialsciences
hierarchy_top_title Faculty of Humanities and Social Sciences
hierarchy_parent_id facultyofhumanitiesandsocialsciences
hierarchy_parent_title Faculty of Humanities and Social Sciences
department_str School of Culture and Communication - Politics, Philosophy and International Relations{{{_:::_}}}Faculty of Humanities and Social Sciences{{{_:::_}}}School of Culture and Communication - Politics, Philosophy and International Relations
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description The literature on post-communist democracies has traditionally suggested that organisational strength is considerably less important for electoral success than extensive media-based campaigns. Recent studies on party-level electoral dynamics, however, indicate that this might not be the case any longer. Building on these insights, this study goes beyond the party-level analyses of electoral success and failure by focusing on the electoral fortunes of individual candidates in a post-communist democracy. Using original data from the 2011 Estonian Candidate Survey, this paper looks at the comparative impact of candidates’ campaign spending and the strength of their local party organisation, alongside other potentially relevant characteristics, on their likelihood of getting elected and vote share. The findings suggest that candidates’ electoral performance in Estonia is still first and foremost shaped by their own campaign spending. In addition, I find evidence that candidates fare better if they have prior local-level and national-level political experience, conduct more personalised campaigns, and are positioned higher up on their party’s district-level list.
published_date 2016-12-31T06:45:29Z
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