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Testing for effects of climate change on competitive relationships and coexistence between two bird species

Nils Chr. Stenseth, Joël M. Durant, Mike Fowler Orcid Logo, Erik Matthysen, Frank Adriaensen, Niclas Jonzén, Kung-Sik Chan, Hai Liu, Jenny De Laet, Ben C. Sheldon, Marcel E. Visser, André A. Dhondt

Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences, Volume: 282, Issue: 1807, Pages: 20141958 - 20141958

Swansea University Author: Mike Fowler Orcid Logo

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DOI (Published version): 10.1098/rspb.2014.1958

Abstract

Climate change is expected to have profound ecological effects, yet shifts in competitive abilities among species are rarely studied in this context. Blue tits (Cyanistes caeruleus) and great tits (Parus major) compete for food and roosting sites, yet coexist across much of their range. Climate chan...

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Published in: Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences
ISSN: 0962-8452 1471-2954
Published: The Royal Society 2015
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URI: https://cronfa.swan.ac.uk/Record/cronfa20840
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spelling 2020-11-12T11:43:28.2777093 v2 20840 2015-04-22 Testing for effects of climate change on competitive relationships and coexistence between two bird species a3a29027498d4b43a3f082a0a5ba16b4 0000-0003-1544-0407 Mike Fowler Mike Fowler true false 2015-04-22 SBI Climate change is expected to have profound ecological effects, yet shifts in competitive abilities among species are rarely studied in this context. Blue tits (Cyanistes caeruleus) and great tits (Parus major) compete for food and roosting sites, yet coexist across much of their range. Climate change might thus change the competitive relationships and coexistence between these two species. Analysing four of the highest-quality, long-term datasets avail- able on these species across Europe, we extend the textbook example of coexistence between competing species to include the dynamic effects of long-term climate variation. Using threshold time-series statistical modelling, we demonstrate that long-term climate variation affects species demography through different influences on density-dependent and density-independent processes. The competitive interaction between blue tits and great tits has shifted in one of the studied sites, creating conditions that alter the relative equilibrium densities between the two species, potentially disrupting long- term coexistence. Our analyses show that long-term climate change can, but does not always, generate local differences in the equilibrium conditions of spatially structured species assemblages. We demonstrate how long-term data can be used to better understand whether (and how), for instance, climate change might change the relationships between coexisting species. However, the studied populations are rather robust against competitive exclusion. Journal Article Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences 282 1807 20141958 20141958 The Royal Society 0962-8452 1471-2954 22 5 2015 2015-05-22 10.1098/rspb.2014.1958 COLLEGE NANME Biosciences COLLEGE CODE SBI Swansea University 2020-11-12T11:43:28.2777093 2015-04-22T12:25:35.8282816 Faculty of Science and Engineering School of Biosciences, Geography and Physics - Biosciences Nils Chr. Stenseth 1 Joël M. Durant 2 Mike Fowler 0000-0003-1544-0407 3 Erik Matthysen 4 Frank Adriaensen 5 Niclas Jonzén 6 Kung-Sik Chan 7 Hai Liu 8 Jenny De Laet 9 Ben C. Sheldon 10 Marcel E. Visser 11 André A. Dhondt 12 0020840-02102015143036.pdf Stenseth_etal_2015_ProcB_AuthorV.pdf 2015-10-02T15:50:33.8900000 Output 1017083 application/pdf Accepted Manuscript true 2016-04-22T00:00:00.0000000 true eng
title Testing for effects of climate change on competitive relationships and coexistence between two bird species
spellingShingle Testing for effects of climate change on competitive relationships and coexistence between two bird species
Mike Fowler
title_short Testing for effects of climate change on competitive relationships and coexistence between two bird species
title_full Testing for effects of climate change on competitive relationships and coexistence between two bird species
title_fullStr Testing for effects of climate change on competitive relationships and coexistence between two bird species
title_full_unstemmed Testing for effects of climate change on competitive relationships and coexistence between two bird species
title_sort Testing for effects of climate change on competitive relationships and coexistence between two bird species
author_id_str_mv a3a29027498d4b43a3f082a0a5ba16b4
author_id_fullname_str_mv a3a29027498d4b43a3f082a0a5ba16b4_***_Mike Fowler
author Mike Fowler
author2 Nils Chr. Stenseth
Joël M. Durant
Mike Fowler
Erik Matthysen
Frank Adriaensen
Niclas Jonzén
Kung-Sik Chan
Hai Liu
Jenny De Laet
Ben C. Sheldon
Marcel E. Visser
André A. Dhondt
format Journal article
container_title Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences
container_volume 282
container_issue 1807
container_start_page 20141958
publishDate 2015
institution Swansea University
issn 0962-8452
1471-2954
doi_str_mv 10.1098/rspb.2014.1958
publisher The Royal Society
college_str Faculty of Science and Engineering
hierarchytype
hierarchy_top_id facultyofscienceandengineering
hierarchy_top_title Faculty of Science and Engineering
hierarchy_parent_id facultyofscienceandengineering
hierarchy_parent_title Faculty of Science and Engineering
department_str School of Biosciences, Geography and Physics - Biosciences{{{_:::_}}}Faculty of Science and Engineering{{{_:::_}}}School of Biosciences, Geography and Physics - Biosciences
document_store_str 1
active_str 0
description Climate change is expected to have profound ecological effects, yet shifts in competitive abilities among species are rarely studied in this context. Blue tits (Cyanistes caeruleus) and great tits (Parus major) compete for food and roosting sites, yet coexist across much of their range. Climate change might thus change the competitive relationships and coexistence between these two species. Analysing four of the highest-quality, long-term datasets avail- able on these species across Europe, we extend the textbook example of coexistence between competing species to include the dynamic effects of long-term climate variation. Using threshold time-series statistical modelling, we demonstrate that long-term climate variation affects species demography through different influences on density-dependent and density-independent processes. The competitive interaction between blue tits and great tits has shifted in one of the studied sites, creating conditions that alter the relative equilibrium densities between the two species, potentially disrupting long- term coexistence. Our analyses show that long-term climate change can, but does not always, generate local differences in the equilibrium conditions of spatially structured species assemblages. We demonstrate how long-term data can be used to better understand whether (and how), for instance, climate change might change the relationships between coexisting species. However, the studied populations are rather robust against competitive exclusion.
published_date 2015-05-22T03:24:40Z
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score 11.037581

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